Depreciation of 70% in three years Where is the future of new energy used cars?

Don't sigh again about the comparison of a Santana with the current price level 30 years ago, because this is no news, you should look at how much the new energy car you bought 3 years ago can still be worth?

Recently, the possession of new energy vehicles in China in the next 10 years has become a hot topic. It seems that the trend of new energy vehicles in the world is becoming more and more obvious. At the same time, the topic of new energy used cars once again stood on the high platform.

A Jianghuai iEV4, 86,000 kilometers in 3 years, was purchased at a price of 65,000 yuan after subsidies, and now the used car sold for 20,000 yuan.

"Some new energy used cars, it is estimated that 3 fold is not good deal." A senior expert in the field of circulation said.

A very simple math problem, in three years, the new energy vehicle depreciated by nearly 70%. Compared with the depreciation rate of traditional fuel vehicles of 45% in 3 years, the depreciation rate of new energy vehicles is higher, and the reasons behind it are worth pondering.

"Because the new energy vehicles are too new, people who buy new energy new cars are already in a big tide. Buying second-hand new energy vehicles should belong to the tides." An industry insider said half-jokingly. Behind the seemingly jokes, it implies a depreciation of a new energy used car: the audience is too small.

“New energy used cars have not yet formed a market”, said senior experts in the circulation field.

From January to September this year, the total sales volume of new energy passenger vehicles was 210,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 122%, of which pure electric vehicles sold 145,000 units, an increase of 170%. It can be seen that the development of new energy vehicles in China is developing at a high speed.

  What is the reason for the “blank” of the new energy used car market?

Low holding

According to statistics from the Traffic Management Bureau of the Ministry of Public Security, as of the end of 2015, the number of new energy vehicles reached 583,200, plus 210,000 in the first nine months of this year. At present, the number of new energy vehicles in China is about 793,200. This figure is really small compared to the national car holdings of 172 million.

A person in charge of a domestic second-hand car platform told reporters that "there is no specific transaction data for the platform because there are too few new-energy used car users."

Used car e-commerce is now a recent platform to contact the used car market. There is no data in this area to show that low holdings have affected the new energy used car market. However, as the state continues to subsidize new energy vehicles, the emerging problem of new energy used cars cannot be ignored.

High maintenance costs

Buying a new energy car is only one of the price. Others include small expenses such as fuel, interest, insurance, tax, maintenance and repair, and the big one is the cost of reselling the car, which is the value of used car. .

This year, in the new energy vehicle market, there have been new energy vehicles with a price of only 90,000 yuan, and the maintenance cost is as high as 140,000 yuan. Due to the problems in the vehicle battery system and charger, and the over-guarantee, the sales shop has issued a maintenance fee of nearly 140,000 yuan. This means that the cost of repairing a car is half the cost of the original car.

In addition, the phenomenon of the virtual battery capacity of new energy vehicles is very common. The most valuable part of a new energy vehicle is its battery. For example, a new energy vehicle battery will have a driving range of 300 kilometers at the factory, and the five-year follow-up mileage may be only 150 kilometers. The cost of replacing a battery accounts for more than half of the price of the entire vehicle, because the cost of a new car will account for 60% of the cost of the car.

Product quality is still to be considered

Samsung mobile phone lithium battery explosion once again pushed the battery safety to the front, and some pure electric vehicles have experienced spontaneous combustion, which also makes consumers doubt the quality of new energy vehicles , resulting in a wait-and-see attitude.

It is worth noting that at present, in the Beijing area where the development of new energy vehicles is the fastest, there has been a strange phenomenon of “having no indicators to buy a car”. According to the latest statistics of the Beijing New Energy Vehicle Development Promotion Center, there are 55 products of 16 companies in the pure electric passenger car that has completed the filing work in Beijing. As of October 9, individuals and units have added 16,300 pure electric passenger cars, a year-on-year increase of nearly 2.5 times, reaching a total of 55,900.

That is to say, at least 43,700 people who have obtained the new energy vehicle indicators have not yet purchased a car, accounting for 72.8%. From this point of view, how many people really want to buy new energy used cars?

Difficulties in charging still exist

The old-fashioned question, battery and charging piles are the driving force for the development of new energy vehicles.

As of the middle of this year, the number of domestic charging piles reached 131,000, but nearly 40,000 charging piles were only placed and became "zombie" charging piles.

In addition, there are many ways to purchase electricity. Due to the electricity and parking fees, the cost of filling the vehicle is obviously different; the defects such as the obvious difference in operation mode need to be further solved.

It is estimated that by 2020, China will build more than 12,000 new centralized charging and replacement stations and 4.8 million decentralized charging piles to meet the charging needs of more than 5 million electric vehicles.

Small price gap with traditional cars

"A new Jianghuai IEV4 luxury smart version of the manufacturer's price of 120,000 yuan, in addition to various subsidies, the price is 54,000 yuan." A dealer in the Beijing area said.

In this regard, looked at a domestic second-hand car e-commerce platform, found that the price of a luxury smart version of Jianghuai IEV4 last year is also 54,000 yuan.

The same price for new and old cars, more people will naturally choose a new car. At present, in the new energy market, the price after subsidies is generally between 50,000 and 100,000 yuan. This price is very small with the price of new energy used cars.

Where is the future of new energy used cars?

“There is still a need to cultivate the market.” The experts in the circulation field said.

At present, new energy companies such as BYD and BAIC have started to recycle. Then the question comes again, what is the evaluation standard for new energy used cars, how to guarantee the interests of enterprises after recycling, and so on.

Therefore, the new energy used car market still needs national policy guidance, but also needs the corresponding infrastructure to improve. Otherwise, the new energy used car blank period may be even longer.

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